Mastering Advanced Asian Handicap Betting

Mastering Advanced Asian Handicap Betting

Handicaps are a nifty little addition to the sports betting arena, just one of many fresh markets and features that inject excitement into one of the world's favorite hobbies. So you think that team X is miles stronger than team Y and therefore assured of winning the match between the two? What if we hypothetically subtracted a clutch of points or goals from team X? Would you still be as confident about the outcome? In a nutshell, that's what handicap betting is all about. When there's a severe discrepancy between the relative or estimated sporting strengths of a team/athlete against their opponent, applying a handicap is a way to even the field before the match kicks off. It's also a way to ensure a sharp punter can make meaningful money from making predictions that are just a tad obvious… like Manchester City beating AFC Bournemouth.

Asian Handicaps Are Becoming The In-Thing

Asian handicaps are so named because Asia is where they originated. This betting market is said to have originated in Indonesia and is a popular way to bet on soccer (football matches). A soccer match can have three outcomes: Home win, Draw, or Away win. The Draw outcome is just a less thrilling outcome to any match because it's just that - a stalemate. Unfortunately for fans and punters alike, draws are quite common in soccer. In traditional betting, or when using traditional handicaps (also known as European), a punter has to consider the Draw option when attempting to predict the outcome of a match. This is just not fun, and that's where Asian handicaps come in handy. The difference between Asian and European handicaps is that the former provides a way to handicap teams or athletes by deducting decimal points or goals, like 0.5, 1.25, 1.5, 2.5, etc. This means that Draw is not a possible hypothetical outcome, unlike European handicaps, which use whole goals/points. It's quite easy, therefore, to understand why Asian handicaps are so vogue in soccer and a few other types of sports betting.

Statistical Models & Data Analysis In Handicap Betting

Using data analysis and statistics in betting is not an if but a must in modern betting, especially with Asian handicaps. A punter might only pay attention to these tools if they're interested in making consistent profit. The modern sports gambling scene requires that every good punter employ data analysis and build working statistical models to improve the quality of their predictions. After all, these same tools are used by bookmakers when making betting lines/prices. Technically, all bettors use statistical models, and it's just a question of how complex or elaborate these models are.

Building Statistical Models Can Be Easy

Combining Asian handicap with statistical models is a sure way to take soccer betting to new, highly profitable levels. Fortunately, it's a betting strategy that's quite easy to implement. Some punters use advanced software and computer algorithms, but if you're not one of those geeks, pay attention here. Consider all things that could plausibly affect the outcome of a match.

• Could the weather affect a team's ability to play well and score goals?

• How well does a certain team or coach play Away from home?

• How often does Man City win when their star midfielder, Kevin De Bruyne, plays?

The above are all examples of data analysis. Going further, a punter could evaluate the last 20 games when Man City played without De Bruyne, played away from home, or played in rainy weather, coming up with a win-or-lose percentage for each data point. Then, by combining all models, such a punter could evaluate the team's chances of succeeding in an upcoming match or help them decide what type of Asian handicap bets to place. That's simply what statistical modeling is all about, and this can be used to improve profits from sports betting significantly.